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ITF·Tue 5:30 AM ET

Matteo Sciahbasi vs Niccolo Ciavarella

Niccolo Ciavarella is the current favorite at $0.87 ask on Kalshi and $0.97 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈92% chance. Prices as of 04:04 UTC on Jul 14, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Matteo Sciahbasi

ITF

Tue 5:30 AM ET

Niccolo Ciavarella
90%95%100%6:13 PM6:15 PM6:18 PM6:19 PM6:21 PM85¢97¢

Moneyline

Matteo Sciahbasi14¢ gap
Kalshi83¢Polymarket97¢
Niccolo Ciavarella10¢ gap
Kalshi87¢Polymarket97¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.