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ITF·Wed 4:30 AM ET

Daniel Tazabekov vs Oskari Paldanius

Oskari Paldanius is the current favorite at $0.88 ask on Kalshi and $0.89 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈89% chance. Prices as of 11:01 UTC on Jul 15, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Daniel Tazabekov

ITF

Wed 4:30 AM ET

Oskari Paldanius
12%18%20%9:01 PM11:15 PM1:39 AM4:31 AM6:59 AM16¢14¢

Moneyline

Daniel Tazabekov2¢ gap
Kalshi16¢Polymarket14¢
Oskari Paldanius1¢ gap
Kalshi88¢Polymarket89¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.