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·Sat 3:00 PM ET

Criciuma vs Vila Nova

Criciuma is the current favorite at $0.59 ask on Kalshi and $0.57 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈58% chance. Prices as of 05:49 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Criciuma

Sat 3:00 PM ET

Vila Nova
56%58%60%10:03 PM10:47 PM11:31 PM12:15 AM12:58 AM59¢57¢

Moneyline

Criciuma2¢ gap
Kalshi59¢Polymarket57¢
Draw3¢ gap
Kalshi30¢Polymarket27¢
Vila Nova1¢ gap
Kalshi17¢Polymarket16¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.