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ITFW·Tue 8:00 PM ET

Amy Stevens vs Chia Yi Tsao

Chia Yi Tsao is the current favorite at $0.87 ask on Kalshi and $0.85 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈86% chance. Prices as of 16:25 UTC on Jul 14, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Amy Stevens

ITFW

Tue 8:00 PM ET

Chia Yi Tsao
14%18%20%8:30 AM9:27 AM10:25 AM11:18 AM12:03 PM16¢16¢

Moneyline

Amy Stevens
Kalshi16¢Polymarket16¢
Chia Yi Tsao2¢ gap
Kalshi87¢Polymarket85¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.