ITFW·Tue 7:30 AM ET·K 0 · PM $14

Ella Haavisto vs Masa Viriant

Ella Haavisto is the current favorite at $0.64 ask on Kalshi and $0.63 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈64% chance. Prices as of 13:11 UTC on Jul 14, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Ella Haavisto

ITFW

Tue 7:30 AM ET

Masa Viriant

KalshiPolymarket

Illustrative shape drawn from current prices; the live intraday line wires in next.

Moneyline

Ella Haavisto1¢ gap

Masa Viriant1¢ gap

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.