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ITFW·Thu 2:15 PM ET

Gloriana Nahum vs Natalie Kha

Gloriana Nahum is the current favorite at $0.94 ask on Kalshi and $0.95 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈95% chance. Prices as of 13:24 UTC on Jul 9, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Gloriana Nahum

ITFW

Thu 2:15 PM ET

Natalie Kha
92%96%98%100%6:16 AM7:04 AM7:47 AM8:26 AM9:08 AM94¢95¢

Moneyline

Gloriana Nahum1¢ gap
Kalshi94¢Polymarket95¢
Natalie Kha1¢ gap
Kalshi94¢Polymarket95¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key.