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·Fri 6:30 PM ET

Bahia vs Chapecoense

Bahia is the current favorite at $0.68 ask on Kalshi and $0.67 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈68% chance. Prices as of 07:51 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Bahia

Fri 6:30 PM ET

Chapecoense
66%70%11:58 PM12:45 AM1:33 AM2:20 AM3:07 AM68¢67¢

Moneyline

Bahia1¢ gap
Kalshi68¢Polymarket67¢
Chapecoense
Kalshi15¢Polymarket15¢
Draw1¢ gap
Kalshi21¢Polymarket20¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.