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ITF·Wed 5:00 AM ET·K 0 · PM $3

Maxence Bertimon vs Paul Barbier Gazeu

Paul Barbier Gazeu is the current favorite at $0.62 ask on Kalshi and $0.60 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈61% chance. Prices as of 10:56 UTC on Jul 15, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Maxence Bertimon

ITF

Wed 5:00 AM ET

Paul Barbier Gazeu
42%46%48%50%24h18h12h6hnow45¢44¢

Illustrative shape drawn from current prices; the live intraday line wires in next.

Moneyline

Maxence Bertimon1¢ gap
Kalshi45¢Polymarket44¢
Paul Barbier Gazeu2¢ gap
Kalshi62¢Polymarket60¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.