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ITFW·Wed 9:30 AM ET

Francesca Mattioli vs Pietra Rivoli

Francesca Mattioli is the current favorite at $0.69 ask on Kalshi and $0.68 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈69% chance. Prices as of 13:31 UTC on Jul 15, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Francesca Mattioli

ITFW

Wed 9:30 AM ET

Pietra Rivoli
66%70%72%6:24 AM6:56 AM7:28 AM8:04 AM8:33 AM69¢68¢

Moneyline

Francesca Mattioli1¢ gap
Kalshi69¢Polymarket68¢
Pietra Rivoli2¢ gap
Kalshi35¢Polymarket33¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.