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·Wed 5:30 AM ET

Carla Giambelli vs Ilary Pistola

Carla Giambelli is the current favorite at $0.52 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈52% chance. Prices as of 11:03 UTC on Jul 15, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Carla Giambelli

Wed 5:30 AM ET

Ilary Pistola
46%48%50%54%9:11 PM11:25 PM1:50 AM4:40 AM7:00 AM51¢52¢

Moneyline

Carla Giambelli
Kalshi—
Polymarket52¢
Ilary Pistola
Kalshi—
Polymarket51¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.