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·Wed 6:00 AM ET

Benoit Torcq vs Guglielmo Verdese

Benoit Torcq is the current favorite at $0.54 ask on Kalshi and $0.52 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈53% chance. Prices as of 11:03 UTC on Jul 15, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Benoit Torcq

Wed 6:00 AM ET

Guglielmo Verdese
50%56%12:29 AM12:40 AM12:54 AM1:10 AM1:25 AM54¢52¢

Moneyline

Benoit Torcq2¢ gap
Kalshi54¢Polymarket52¢
Guglielmo Verdese
Kalshi50¢Polymarket50¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.