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·Wed 10:00 AM ET

Federica Urgesi vs Francesca Jones

Francesca Jones is the current favorite at $0.73 ask on Kalshi and $0.68 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈71% chance. Prices as of 11:01 UTC on Jul 15, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Federica Urgesi

Wed 10:00 AM ET

Francesca Jones
30%34%10:33 PM10:36 PM10:39 PM10:41 PM10:45 PM32¢33¢

Moneyline

Federica Urgesi1¢ gap
Kalshi32¢Polymarket33¢
Francesca Jones5¢ gap
Kalshi73¢Polymarket68¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.