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ATP·Thu 4:00 AM ET·K 513 · PM $322

Casper Ruud vs Jaime Faria

Casper Ruud is the current favorite at $0.83 ask on Kalshi and $0.81 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈82% chance. Prices as of 11:00 UTC on Jul 15, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Casper Ruud

ATP

Thu 4:00 AM ET

Jaime Faria
80%82%84%5:03 AM5:30 AM6:03 AM6:26 AM6:56 AM83¢81¢

Moneyline

Casper Ruud2¢ gap
Kalshi83¢Polymarket81¢
Jaime Faria1¢ gap
Kalshi21¢Polymarket20¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.