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·Wed 5:30 AM ET

Luca Staeheli vs Matyas Kozlovsky

Luca Staeheli is the current favorite at $0.93 ask on Kalshi and $0.95 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈94% chance. Prices as of 11:03 UTC on Jul 15, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Luca Staeheli

Wed 5:30 AM ET

Matyas Kozlovsky
90%92%94%96%98%6:15 PM6:44 PM7:05 PM7:35 PM8:00 PM93¢95¢

Moneyline

Luca Staeheli2¢ gap
Kalshi93¢Polymarket95¢
Matyas Kozlovsky20¢ gap
Kalshi28¢Polymarket48¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.