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·Thu 5:30 AM ET

Maria Golovina vs Melisa Ercan

Maria Golovina is the current favorite at $0.70 ask on Kalshi and $0.69 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈70% chance. Prices as of 04:52 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Maria Golovina

Thu 5:30 AM ET

Melisa Ercan
60%80%90%100%6:17 PM7:47 PM9:24 PM11:06 PM12:49 AM70¢69¢

Moneyline

Maria Golovina1¢ gap
Kalshi70¢Polymarket69¢
Melisa Ercan1¢ gap
Kalshi32¢Polymarket33¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.