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·Wed 5:30 AM ET

Goncalo Da Rosa Castro vs Peter Alam

Peter Alam is the current favorite at $0.89 ask on Kalshi and $0.91 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈90% chance. Prices as of 11:03 UTC on Jul 15, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Goncalo Da Rosa Castro

Wed 5:30 AM ET

Peter Alam
85%90%95%100%5:53 PM6:00 PM6:07 PM6:18 PM6:27 PM88¢89¢

Moneyline

Goncalo Da Rosa Castro1¢ gap
Kalshi88¢Polymarket89¢
Peter Alam2¢ gap
Kalshi89¢Polymarket91¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.