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WTACHALLENGER·Tue 6:30 AM ET

Arabella Koller vs Mona Barthel

Mona Barthel is the current favorite at $0.93 ask on Kalshi and $0.92 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈93% chance. Prices as of 04:06 UTC on Jul 14, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Arabella Koller

WTACHALLENGER

Tue 6:30 AM ET

Mona Barthel
6%7%10%11%6:36 PM6:53 PM7:06 PM7:17 PM7:32 PM8¢9¢

Moneyline

Arabella Koller1¢ gap
KalshiPolymarket
Mona Barthel1¢ gap
Kalshi93¢Polymarket92¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.