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·Wed 1:30 PM ET

Juan Bautista Torres vs Sumit Nagal

Sumit Nagal is the current favorite at $0.63 ask on Kalshi and $0.63 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈63% chance. Prices as of 10:58 UTC on Jul 15, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Juan Bautista Torres

Wed 1:30 PM ET

Sumit Nagal
40%44%46%1:56 AM2:08 AM2:21 AM2:33 AM2:43 AM41¢42¢

Moneyline

Juan Bautista Torres1¢ gap
Kalshi41¢Polymarket42¢
Sumit Nagal
Kalshi63¢Polymarket63¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.