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ITFW·Fri 4:00 AM ET

Alina Tikhonova vs Shihomi Li Xuan Leong

Alina Tikhonova is the current favorite at $0.85 ask on Kalshi and $0.82 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈84% chance. Prices as of 04:43 UTC on Jul 10, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Alina Tikhonova

ITFW

Fri 4:00 AM ET

Shihomi Li Xuan Leong
80%90%95%100%4:21 PM6:34 PM8:49 PM10:56 PM12:41 AM85¢82¢

Moneyline

Alina Tikhonova3¢ gap
Kalshi85¢Polymarket82¢
Shihomi Li Xuan Leong2¢ gap
Kalshi19¢Polymarket21¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.