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UFC·Sat 5:00 PM ET

Alberto Montes vs Tommy Mcmillen

Tommy Mcmillen is the current favorite at $0.52 ask on Kalshi and $0.54 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈53% chance. Prices as of 11:55 UTC on Jul 12, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Alberto Montes

UFC

Sat 5:00 PM ET

Tommy Mcmillen
45%50%55%12:46 AM1:11 AM1:29 AM1:54 AM2:19 AM54¢48¢

Moneyline

Alberto Montes7¢ gap
Kalshi55¢Polymarket48¢
Tommy Mcmillen2¢ gap
Kalshi52¢Polymarket54¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.