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·Sat 8:08 PM ET

San Francisco vs Seattle

Seattle is the current favorite at $0.58 ask on Kalshi and $0.81 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈70% chance. Prices as of 04:54 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

San Francisco

Sat 8:08 PM ET

Seattle
70%75%80%8:37 PM8:38 PM8:38 PM8:40 PM8:40 PM65¢77¢

Moneyline

San Francisco28¢ gap
Kalshi49¢Polymarket77¢
Seattle23¢ gap
Kalshi58¢Polymarket81¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.