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·Wed 2:00 PM ET

Ivan Ivanov vs Oliver Crawford

Oliver Crawford is the current favorite at $0.61 ask on Kalshi and $0.62 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈62% chance. Prices as of 10:58 UTC on Jul 15, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Ivan Ivanov

Wed 2:00 PM ET

Oliver Crawford
40%46%2:12 AM2:23 AM2:34 AM2:47 AM3:02 AM44¢42¢

Moneyline

Ivan Ivanov2¢ gap
Kalshi44¢Polymarket42¢
Oliver Crawford1¢ gap
Kalshi61¢Polymarket62¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.