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ITF·Thu 11:00 PM ET

Naoki Nakagawa vs Shintaro Imai

Shintaro Imai is the current favorite at $0.52 ask on Kalshi and $0.52 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈52% chance. Prices as of 04:43 UTC on Jul 10, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Naoki Nakagawa

ITF

Thu 11:00 PM ET

Shintaro Imai
40%45%55%60%12:43 PM3:51 PM7:00 PM10:09 PM12:41 AM51¢50¢

Moneyline

Naoki Nakagawa1¢ gap
Kalshi49¢Polymarket50¢
Shintaro Imai
Kalshi52¢Polymarket52¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.