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·Thu 6:30 AM ET

Guy Den Ouden vs Hynek Barton

Guy Den Ouden is the current favorite at $0.57 ask on Kalshi and $0.56 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈56% chance. Prices as of 04:56 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Guy Den Ouden

Thu 6:30 AM ET

Hynek Barton
54%58%60%7:00 PM7:03 PM7:04 PM7:07 PM7:08 PM57¢56¢

Moneyline

Guy Den Ouden1¢ gap
Kalshi57¢Polymarket56¢
Hynek Barton2¢ gap
Kalshi43¢Polymarket45¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.