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·Wed 12:10 PM ET·K 22.6K

Lyon vs Mibr Los

Lyon is the current favorite at $0.80 ask on Kalshi and $0.81 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈81% chance. Prices as of 18:17 UTC on Jul 15, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Lyon

Wed 12:10 PM ET

Mibr Los
70%90%100%11:22 AM11:54 AM12:31 PM1:01 PM1:26 PM80¢81¢

Moneyline

Lyon1¢ gap
Kalshi80¢Polymarket81¢
Mibr Los2¢ gap
Kalshi22¢Polymarket20¢

Totals

full match
Over4¢ gap
Kalshi50¢Polymarket54¢
Under4¢ gap
Kalshi61¢Polymarket65¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.