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·Wed 5:00 AM ET

Arin Pallegar vs Togan Tokac

Arin Pallegar is the current favorite at $0.97 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈97% chance. Prices as of 11:06 UTC on Jul 15, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Arin Pallegar

Wed 5:00 AM ET

Togan Tokac
20%60%80%100%9:02 PM11:16 PM1:40 AM4:31 AM7:03 AM69¢44¢

Moneyline

Arin Pallegar
Kalshi
Polymarket97¢
Togan Tokac
Kalshi
Polymarket97¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.