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·Sat 4:10 PM ET

Arizona vs ST Louis

Arizona is the current favorite at $0.56 ask on Kalshi and $0.75 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈66% chance. Prices as of 04:51 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Arizona

Sat 4:10 PM ET

ST Louis
50%60%70%80%4:35 PM4:38 PM4:42 PM4:45 PM4:48 PM75¢

Moneyline

Arizona19¢ gap
Kalshi56¢Polymarket75¢
ST Louis23¢ gap
Kalshi51¢Polymarket74¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.