Skip to content
← All games
·Thu 10:00 AM ET

Ariana Arseneault vs Elizabeth Mandlik

Elizabeth Mandlik is the current favorite at $0.83 ask on Kalshi and $0.82 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈83% chance. Prices as of 05:51 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Ariana Arseneault

Thu 10:00 AM ET

Elizabeth Mandlik
30%35%40%10:29 PM11:06 PM11:44 PM12:21 AM12:58 AM22¢23¢

Moneyline

Ariana Arseneault1¢ gap
Kalshi22¢Polymarket23¢
Elizabeth Mandlik1¢ gap
Kalshi83¢Polymarket82¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.