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Miami·Fri, Jul 24

Miami Daily Low · 2026-07-24

Market summary

The most likely bucket right now is 80-81°F

brackets offset today
Kalshi35¢Polymarket41¢6¢ gap

Prices as of 18:01 UTC on Jul 23, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Bracket alignment

brackets offset today
Polymarket Polymarket
≤69°
70-71°
72-73°
74-75°
76-77°14¢
78-79°30¢
80-81°41¢
82-83°21¢
84-85°
86-87°
≥88°
Kalshi Kalshi
≤73°
74-75°15¢
76-77°24¢
78-79°31¢
80-81°35¢
≥82°

Both venues' brackets on one temperature axis — each price belongs to its own venue's real bracket. Offset days show as shifted segments.

Offset day: the venues' brackets differ by 1°F — the alignment strip above shows each venue's real brackets and prices. Prices are never combined.

Polymarket closes Jul 24, 12:00 UTC · Kalshi closes Jul 25, 05:00 UTC

Settlement: Kalshi: NWS Miami (station unstated) · Polymarket: Wunderground KMIA (Miami Intl)

Bucket prices

KalshiPolymarket
74-75°F13¢ gap
Kalshi15¢Polymarket
76-77°F10¢ gap
Kalshi24¢Polymarket14¢
80-81°F6¢ gap
Kalshi35¢Polymarket41¢
78-79°F1¢ gap
Kalshi31¢Polymarket30¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. How the market matching API works · Real-time WebSocket API docs. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.