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·Fri 9:40 PM ET

Arizona vs ST Louis

ST Louis is the current favorite at $0.49 ask on Kalshi and $0.93 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈71% chance. Prices as of 10:58 UTC on Jul 15, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Arizona

Fri 9:40 PM ET

ST Louis
50%60%70%10:15 PM10:19 PM10:23 PM10:27 PM10:31 PM55¢80¢

Moneyline

Arizona25¢ gap
Kalshi55¢Polymarket80¢
ST Louis44¢ gap
Kalshi49¢Polymarket93¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.