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·Wed 10:00 AM ET

Federico Agustin Gomez vs Matteo Arnaldi

Matteo Arnaldi is the current favorite at $0.76 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈76% chance. Prices as of 11:06 UTC on Jul 15, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Federico Agustin Gomez

Wed 10:00 AM ET

Matteo Arnaldi
22%26%28%6:27 PM6:49 PM7:09 PM7:36 PM8:00 PM24¢25¢

Moneyline

Federico Agustin Gomez
Kalshi
Polymarket25¢
Matteo Arnaldi
Kalshi
Polymarket76¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.