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·Thu 10:00 AM ET

Alexandra Vagramov vs Sakura Hosogi

Sakura Hosogi is the current favorite at $0.78 ask on Kalshi and $0.73 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈76% chance. Prices as of 05:48 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Alexandra Vagramov

Thu 10:00 AM ET

Sakura Hosogi
20%40%60%80%10:29 PM11:06 PM11:44 PM12:21 AM12:58 AM27¢28¢

Moneyline

Alexandra Vagramov1¢ gap
Kalshi27¢Polymarket28¢
Sakura Hosogi5¢ gap
Kalshi78¢Polymarket73¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.