NYC Daily High · 2026-07-10
The most likely bucket right now is 88-89°F at $0.45 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈45% chance. Prices as of 12:46 UTC on Jul 10, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.
Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.
NYC
Fri, Jul 10
offset dayIllustrative shape drawn from current prices; the live intraday line wires in next.
Bucket prices
Offset day: the venues' brackets differ by 1°F, so a ‘spans’ bucket maps to two Kalshi buckets. No combined price is ever shown.
Polymarket closes Jul 10, 12:00 UTC · Kalshi closes Jul 11, 04:59 UTC
Settlement: Kalshi: NWS Central Park · Polymarket: Wunderground KLGA (LaGuardia) — DIFFERENT stations
Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.