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ITF·Sat 5:00 AM ET

Cezar Gabriel Papoe vs Luka Talan Lopatic

Cezar Gabriel Papoe is the current favorite at $0.55 ask on Kalshi and $0.52 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈54% chance. Prices as of 04:59 UTC on Jul 11, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Cezar Gabriel Papoe

ITF

Sat 5:00 AM ET

Luka Talan Lopatic
50%54%56%5:14 PM5:16 PM5:19 PM5:20 PM5:22 PM55¢52¢

Moneyline

Cezar Gabriel Papoe3¢ gap
Kalshi55¢Polymarket52¢
Luka Talan Lopatic1¢ gap
Kalshi50¢Polymarket49¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.