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ITF·Sat 10:30 AM ET

Carlos Maria Zarate vs Thiago Cigarran

Carlos Maria Zarate is the current favorite at $0.76 ask on Kalshi and $0.74 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈75% chance. Prices as of 06:48 UTC on Jul 11, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Carlos Maria Zarate

ITF

Sat 10:30 AM ET

Thiago Cigarran
72%78%12:06 AM12:31 AM12:57 AM1:23 AM1:48 AM76¢74¢

Moneyline

Carlos Maria Zarate2¢ gap
Kalshi76¢Polymarket74¢
Thiago Cigarran
Kalshi28¢Polymarket28¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.