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CS2·Tue 2:30 PM ET

Dark Moon vs Fortress

Fortress is the current favorite at $0.75 ask on Kalshi and $0.93 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈84% chance. Prices as of 10:28 UTC on Jul 14, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Dark Moon

CS2

Tue 2:30 PM ET

Fortress
70%80%90%100%3:50 AM3:54 AM3:57 AM4:02 AM4:05 AM75¢92¢

Moneyline

Dark Moon17¢ gap
Kalshi75¢Polymarket92¢
Fortress18¢ gap
Kalshi75¢Polymarket93¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.