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ATP·Tue 11:30 AM ET·K 74 · PM $885

Federico Agustin Gomez vs Niels Mcdonald

Federico Agustin Gomez is the current favorite at $0.56 ask on Kalshi and $0.55 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈56% chance. Prices as of 04:07 UTC on Jul 14, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Federico Agustin Gomez

ATP

Tue 11:30 AM ET

Niels Mcdonald
54%58%1:52 PM1:58 PM2:03 PM2:09 PM2:14 PM56¢55¢

Moneyline

Federico Agustin Gomez1¢ gap
Kalshi56¢Polymarket55¢
Niels Mcdonald1¢ gap
Kalshi47¢Polymarket46¢

Totals

full match
Over1¢ gap
Kalshi55¢Polymarket56¢
Under1¢ gap
Kalshi54¢Polymarket55¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.