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·Thu 12:30 PM ET

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Roman Andres Burruchaga

Roman Andres Burruchaga is the current favorite at $0.56 ask on Kalshi and $0.56 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈56% chance. Prices as of 04:53 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Thu 12:30 PM ET

Roman Andres Burruchaga
50%55%60%65%6:17 PM6:25 PM6:39 PM6:51 PM7:03 PM46¢47¢

Moneyline

Camilo Ugo Carabelli1¢ gap
Kalshi46¢Polymarket47¢
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Kalshi56¢Polymarket56¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.