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·Thu 5:00 AM ET

Roan Jones vs Sean Daryabeigi

Sean Daryabeigi is the current favorite at $0.58 ask on Kalshi and $0.56 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈57% chance. Prices as of 04:57 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Roan Jones

Thu 5:00 AM ET

Sean Daryabeigi
60%80%100%6:17 PM7:48 PM9:27 PM11:11 PM12:55 AM46¢46¢

Moneyline

Roan Jones
Kalshi46¢Polymarket46¢
Sean Daryabeigi2¢ gap
Kalshi58¢Polymarket56¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.