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LA·Sat, Jul 11

LA Daily High · 2026-07-11

The most likely bucket right now is 74-75°F at $0.59 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈59% chance. Prices as of 16:40 UTC on Jul 10, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

LA

Sat, Jul 11

offset day
2%4%6%8%24h18h12h6hnow3¢

Illustrative shape drawn from current prices; the live intraday line wires in next.

Bracket alignment

Polymarket
≤69°
70-71°
72-73°13¢
74-75°59¢
76-77°25¢
78-79°
80-81°
82-83°
84-85°
86-87°
≥88°
Kalshi
≤72°
73-74°
75-76°
77-78°
79-80°
≥81°

Both venues' brackets on one temperature axis — each price belongs to its own venue's real bracket. Offset days show as shifted segments.

Bucket prices

≤69°F
Kalshi≤72°
Polymarket
70-71°F
Kalshi≤72°
Polymarket
72-73°F
Kalshi≤72° + 73-74°
Polymarket13¢
74-75°F
Kalshi73-74° + 75-76°
Polymarket59¢
76-77°F
Kalshi75-76° + 77-78°
Polymarket25¢
78-79°F
Kalshi77-78° + 79-80°
Polymarket
80-81°F
Kalshi79-80° + ≥81°
Polymarket
82-83°F
Kalshi≥81°
Polymarket
84-85°F
Kalshi≥81°
Polymarket
86-87°F
Kalshi≥81°
Polymarket
≥88°F
Kalshi≥81°
Polymarket

Offset day: the venues' brackets differ by 1°F — the alignment strip above shows each venue's real brackets and prices. Nothing is ever combined.

Polymarket closes Jul 11, 12:00 UTC · Kalshi closes Jul 12, 07:59 UTC

Settlement: LAX (Kalshi: NWS CLI · Poly: Wunderground KLAX)

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.