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·Thu 12:30 PM ET

Antoine Ghibaudo vs Dan Added

Antoine Ghibaudo is the current favorite at $0.52 ask on Kalshi and $0.51 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈52% chance. Prices as of 07:56 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Antoine Ghibaudo

Thu 12:30 PM ET

Dan Added
50%54%1:03 AM1:32 AM2:01 AM2:28 AM2:57 AM52¢51¢

Moneyline

Antoine Ghibaudo1¢ gap
Kalshi52¢Polymarket51¢
Dan Added1¢ gap
Kalshi49¢Polymarket50¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.