Skip to content
← All games
ITF·Thu 5:00 AM ET

Mario Arce Fernandez vs Pedro Rodenas

Pedro Rodenas is the current favorite at $0.92 ask on Kalshi and $0.93 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈93% chance. Prices as of 07:14 UTC on Jul 23, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Mario Arce Fernandez

ITF

Thu 5:00 AM ET

Pedro Rodenas
10%14%12:18 AM12:19 AM12:20 AM12:21 AM12:22 AM12¢13¢

Moneyline

Mario Arce Fernandez1¢ gap
Kalshi12¢Polymarket13¢
Pedro Rodenas1¢ gap
Kalshi92¢Polymarket93¢

How this settles

Spread
Read each venue's rules

Kalshi

The following market refers to the Arce Fernandez vs Rodenas professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Denia Round of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), all markets will resolve to $0.50. If a player withdraws or forfeits after a match has started, that player will resolve to No. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Mario Arce Fernandez and Pedro Rodenas in the ITF Men Denia, originally scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mario Arce Fernandez' if Mario Arce Fernandez advances against Pedro Rodenas. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Rodenas' if Pedro Rodenas advances against Mario Arce Fernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. How the market matching API works · Real-time WebSocket API docs. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.