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ITF·Thu 6:00 PM ET

Liam Draxl vs Nicolas Arseneault

Liam Draxl is the current favorite at $0.83 ask on Kalshi and $0.81 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈82% chance. Prices as of 13:23 UTC on Jul 9, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Liam Draxl

ITF

Thu 6:00 PM ET

Nicolas Arseneault
80%82%84%86%6:25 AM7:09 AM7:50 AM8:29 AM9:08 AM83¢81¢

Moneyline

Liam Draxl2¢ gap
Kalshi83¢Polymarket81¢
Nicolas Arseneault
Kalshi20¢Polymarket20¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key.