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·Thu 6:05 AM ET
Timofei Derepasko vs Vardan Manukyan
Timofei Derepasko is the current favorite at $0.76 ask on Kalshi and $0.73 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈75% chance. Prices as of 07:53 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.
Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.
Timofei Derepasko
Thu 6:05 AM ET
Vardan Manukyan
KalshiPolymarket
Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.