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·Wed 5:00 AM ET

Filiberto Fumagalli vs Jeremy Gschwendtner

Filiberto Fumagalli is the current favorite at $0.61 ask on Kalshi and $0.59 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈60% chance. Prices as of 11:06 UTC on Jul 15, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Filiberto Fumagalli

Wed 5:00 AM ET

Jeremy Gschwendtner
40%80%100%6:15 PM7:15 PM8:19 PM9:21 PM10:18 PM61¢59¢

Moneyline

Filiberto Fumagalli2¢ gap
Kalshi61¢Polymarket59¢
Jeremy Gschwendtner1¢ gap
Kalshi42¢Polymarket43¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.