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·Thu 4:00 AM ET

Marie Villet vs Sofia Camila Rojas

Sofia Camila Rojas is the current favorite at $0.77 ask on Kalshi and $0.75 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈76% chance. Prices as of 04:53 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Marie Villet

Thu 4:00 AM ET

Sofia Camila Rojas
0%40%60%80%100%6:17 PM7:47 PM9:24 PM11:08 PM12:51 AM26¢27¢

Moneyline

Marie Villet1¢ gap
Kalshi26¢Polymarket27¢
Sofia Camila Rojas2¢ gap
Kalshi77¢Polymarket75¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.