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ITFW·Tue 7:30 AM ET

Manon Leonard vs Sabine Rutlauka

Manon Leonard is the current favorite at $0.85 ask on Kalshi and $0.82 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈84% chance. Prices as of 04:11 UTC on Jul 14, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Manon Leonard

ITFW

Tue 7:30 AM ET

Sabine Rutlauka
80%84%86%8:07 PM8:16 PM8:28 PM8:42 PM8:51 PM85¢82¢

Moneyline

Manon Leonard3¢ gap
Kalshi85¢Polymarket82¢
Sabine Rutlauka1¢ gap
Kalshi20¢Polymarket21¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.