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·Fri 10:10 PM ET

San Francisco vs Seattle

Seattle is the current favorite at $0.81 ask on Kalshi and $0.86 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈84% chance. Prices as of 10:58 UTC on Jul 15, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

San Francisco

Fri 10:10 PM ET

Seattle
40%60%80%100%10:54 PM10:58 PM11:02 PM11:05 PM11:08 PM70¢88¢

Moneyline

San Francisco18¢ gap
Kalshi70¢Polymarket88¢
Seattle5¢ gap
Kalshi81¢Polymarket86¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.