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·Thu 6:00 AM ET

Asahi Harazaki vs Yua Taka

Asahi Harazaki is the current favorite at $0.79 ask on Kalshi and $0.79 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈79% chance. Prices as of 04:54 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Asahi Harazaki

Thu 6:00 AM ET

Yua Taka
75%85%90%95%100%6:28 PM6:40 PM6:54 PM7:06 PM7:14 PM79¢79¢

Moneyline

Asahi Harazaki
Kalshi79¢Polymarket79¢
Yua Taka
Kalshi26¢Polymarket26¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.