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·Wed 11:30 AM ET·K 1.1K · PM $555

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Pablo Carreno Busta

Pablo Carreno Busta is the current favorite at $0.62 ask on Kalshi and $0.60 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈61% chance. Prices as of 11:06 UTC on Jul 15, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Wed 11:30 AM ET

Pablo Carreno Busta
38%42%44%6:15 PM6:44 PM7:06 PM7:35 PM8:01 PM40¢41¢

Moneyline

Camilo Ugo Carabelli1¢ gap
Kalshi40¢Polymarket41¢
Pablo Carreno Busta2¢ gap
Kalshi62¢Polymarket60¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.